Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000699 0.000795 0.000896 0.001011 0.001137 0.001272 0.001425
2025-08-31 0.000529 0.000658 0.000804 0.000979 0.001185 0.001416 0.001694
2025-09-07 0.000449 0.000593 0.000763 0.000977 0.001237 0.001539 0.001915
2025-09-14 0.000388 0.000541 0.000730 0.000976 0.001284 0.001653 0.002124
2025-09-21 0.000336 0.000493 0.000694 0.000965 0.001313 0.001741 0.002300
2025-09-28 0.000292 0.000449 0.000658 0.000947 0.001329 0.001810 0.002451
2025-10-05 0.000269 0.000433 0.000655 0.000971 0.001398 0.001946 0.002688
2025-10-12 0.000248 0.000415 0.000649 0.000989 0.001458 0.002070 0.002911
2025-10-19 0.000222 0.000387 0.000625 0.000980 0.001480 0.002144 0.003070
2025-10-26 0.000198 0.000360 0.000601 0.000968 0.001497 0.002209 0.003218
2025-11-02 0.000183 0.000345 0.000592 0.000978 0.001542 0.002314 0.003420
2025-11-09 0.000167 0.000327 0.000578 0.000978 0.001572 0.002397 0.003593
2025-11-16 0.000145 0.000299 0.000546 0.000949 0.001561 0.002423 0.003691
2025-11-23 0.000127 0.000273 0.000516 0.000922 0.001551 0.002450 0.003791
2025-11-30 0.000115 0.000258 0.000502 0.000919 0.001575 0.002525 0.003958
2025-12-07 0.000105 0.000245 0.000491 0.000918 0.001602 0.002605 0.004132
2025-12-14 0.000094 0.000230 0.000474 0.000907 0.001612 0.002660 0.004272
2025-12-21 0.000084 0.000213 0.000454 0.000890 0.001611 0.002698 0.004387
2025-12-28 0.000080 0.000210 0.000458 0.000913 0.001675 0.002833 0.004647
2026-01-04 0.000076 0.000206 0.000458 0.000930 0.001729 0.002954 0.004889
2026-01-11 0.000069 0.000194 0.000445 0.000922 0.001741 0.003012 0.005037
2026-01-18 0.000062 0.000183 0.000430 0.000911 0.001748 0.003062 0.005173
2026-01-25 0.000058 0.000177 0.000427 0.000920 0.001789 0.003164 0.005391